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Posts Tagged ‘Apple’

Saturday, August 28, 2010 posted by cversace

As Labor Day approaches, many of us are contemplating the end of summer, pre-season football and squeezing in the last bit of vacation. There are others, however, who are gearing up for back to school.

To say I have not been eyeing back to school this year in particular would be a lie. With Commerce Department data saying consumer spending has weakened in recent months, the shots in the arm that retailers and consumer-product companies are counting on are back to school and the holiday season.

While the holiday season is still more than several weeks away, we are in the thick of back to school. For the uninitiated or those without kids, back to school is an annual ritual wherein students update their wardrobes with fresh clothes, sneakers, cleats, school supplies and other equipment they’ll need heading into the fall and winter months for school, sports and other activities.

According to the National Retail Federation (NRF), back-to-school spending is set to jump by 10.5 percent this year as Americans loosen their purse strings following a cash-strapped 2009. Per that study, combined spending will be $55.1 billion, making it second only to holiday shopping.

READ MORE HERE

Tuesday, August 24, 2010 posted by cversace

Chris Versace, the Thematic Investor and Director of Research at Think 20/20, was recently interviewed by the International Business Times regarding Nokia’s announcement with Intel to open a laboratory focused on developing 3-D capabilities on their MeeGo mobile platform.

READ MORE HERE

Monday, August 16, 2010 posted by cversace

Hi. I’m Chris Versace, the Thematic Investor and Director of Research at Think 20/20. For more than 17 years I have been following and analyzing stocks across a number of industries, tasked with the job not only bringing clarity and understanding to institutional investors, but also uncovering investible opportunities.

With the Thematic Investor newsletter, my goal is to bring that same clarity and understanding directly to you. While servicing the institutional market as both an analyst and investor, I developed a proprietary thematic framework for investing and when combined with a food chain perspective, I’ve been able to identify well-positioned companies, which have been good investments to own. Those same tools allowed me to zero in on companies vulnerable to changing economic, demographic, and other secular changes that led to pressure or collapse for the respective stocks.

In this issue I invite you to begin with Economics & Expectations, which recaps recent economic data, and I share what I think those points mean to us as investors. I then discuss two growth-led themes – Powering the Mobile Consumer and Analog to Digital - as well as key players and their respective stocks that are well positioned to capitalize on the trends driving their respective businesses. Each theme along with companies that it touches are discussed in detail and I offer a view on upside potential as well as downside risk for each stock I’ve selected to capitalize on the corresponding theme.

We also have identified “red shirt” players, or ones to keep an eye on, and  The Thematic Investor Call to give you the 411 on how to capitalize on my thematic analysis.

As I have said time and time again, successful investing requires time to do the right homework.

Let’s go to work.

Friday, July 23, 2010 posted by cversace

Corporate earnings continued at a fast and furious pace this week, and we started to hear from a wider variety of companies.

Again, however, it was a mixed bag. Solid earnings and outlooks from the likes of Apple Inc., Qualcomm Inc., Morgan Stanley and eBay Inc. were offset by disappointing earnings, outlooks or both by Yum Brands, Starbucks, IBM, Goldman Sachs Group and others. This resulted in a topsy-turvy stock market, which should be expected. Not only is that one of the trials and tribulations of any earnings season, but it is amplified by where we are in the domestic economic recovery.

Or not.

While some may cut to the quick and ask, “How can he say that?” I would quickly point to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s semiannual report to the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee on Wednesday. At the heart of Mr. Bernanke’s testimony, he stated that the Fed continues to forecast moderate growth for the domestic economy this year despite a “somewhat weaker outlook.”

Mr. Bernanke went on to pronounce the outlook as “unusually uncertain.”

READ MORE HERE

With little in the way of economic data for the first part of this past week, it comes as little surprise that corporate earnings took center stage. Upbeat earnings reports and upwardly revised expectations from Alcoa,CSXIntel and others fueled a nice upward move early in the week, particularly for the technology heavy Nasdaq index. Outlooks from Alcoaand CSX suggested a better second half compared with what some on the Street had been expecting, but we need to decipher between what may be wishful thinking and what may actually happen.

To be fair, some sour notes tempered positive news early in the week. Missed expectations from Yum Brands as well as a cautious outlook from Marriott International support the notion that we are not out of the woods.

Unfortunately, it reminds me what I wrote about last week (“With doubts about the recovery, what to do?”) when I touched on reduced expectations for growth. Unfortunately, those sour notes grew as the week wore on.

READ MORE HERE

Monday, July 12, 2010 posted by cversace

Think 20/20’s Mike Canevaro discusses the decision to discontinue VCR Plus+ codes and its ramifications as we head further into the all-digital world of GoogleTV, Apple TV and others as devices get more connected…

The end of the floppy disc. It has been announced by Sony Corporation (SNE) that in March of 2011 they will cease production of the 3.5” floppy-disc, a format first introduced circa 1982.  Long forgotten, and well passed its prime, this diskette format marks the end of an era that introduced us to the disk based storage system.  Certainly this product will not be missed, but it is a milestone of sorts, as the world readies for another phase out of technology, and a revolution in content delivery that makes the floppy disc look prehistoric.

Next up, the demise of the VCR Plus+ code system used to set VCR’s.  ROVI Corporation (ROVI) has decided that it will no longer support and distribute the codes used to program VCR’s to record television programming.  ROVI, who acquired the merged company of GEMSTAR and TV Guide in 2007, contends that the technology is “very very old” seeing “zero support” for the codes.

It’s interesting that these two antiquated technologies have lasted as long as they have, before being sent to the glue factory.

Contact customerservice@think2020research for more on this viewpoint


Friday, July 9, 2010 posted by cversace

With the stock market coming under increasing pressure as concerns about the viability of the economic recovery rise, several people have e-mailed me asking how they can protect themselves. The short answer is you can, and the more complicated answer is there are several ways to do so - some simpler ones and some that are more complex and better suited for more risk-tolerant investors.

Without question, there is growing concern that the economic recovery is losing steam. While we can point to several economic data streams over as many weeks, headlines on the Web, in magazines and in other publications are raising the issue if not stoking it. In the past week, some headlines have been: “U.S. Needs ‘Bright Star’ to Stimulate Economy,” “Federal Reserve weighs steps to offset slowdown in economic recovery,” “CBO tells Obama deficit panel that forecast remains bleak,” and “U.S. Jobs Picture Darkens.”

On Thursday, we received several new and unsettling updates, including one from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which raised concern that risks to the speed of the global recovery are mounting.

READ MORE HERE

Think 20/20’s Bill Plummer discussed Section 255 of the Telecommunications Act of 1996 - what it is and what it means to the industry in a world of increasing connectivity and connected devices.

As Congress debates an overhaul of the Telecommunications Act of 1996, a separate debate related to one of the lesser-known provisions of the 1996 Act is also underway, with the potential to critically impact on future information and communications technology innovation. What complicates this instance of digital post-convergence/pre-chaos/current collision is the highly emotionally charged nature and topic of the debate: ensuring communications and Internet accessibility to individuals or varying ability or disability.

Section 255 of the 1996 Act, implementation of which was debated for many years, requires telecommunications products and services to be accessible to people with disabilities, to the extent that such accessibility is “readily achievable.” The definition of readily achievable has always meant different things to different people, but the FCC, disability advocates and industry players generally agreed it to mean “easily accomplishable, without much difficulty or expense.” Of course “much difficulty” and “much expense” were situational definitions at best.

In any event, per Section 255, if manufacturers cannot make their products accessible, then they are required to design products to be compatible with adaptive equipment used by people with disabilities, again, “where readily achievable.”

For more, please contact customerservice@think2020research.com

Thursday, July 1, 2010 posted by cversace

Think 20/20’s William Plummer has a new viewpoint on the challenges and opportunities that pertain to online privacy:

Almost a decade ago, there were fierce policy debates in regulatory backrooms about how digital privacy might be managed as the commercial Internet blossomed towards the multimedia broadband wonder that it is today. The heart of the dialogue was whether or not people should “opt in” to or “opt out” of use of their personal information for advertisement, experience customization, personalization, etc.

While there were already countless laws on the books and regulations promulgated to protect consumer privacy, financial transactions, health records, etc, and so forth (although almost all drafted in the pre- or early-commercial Internet age and arguably ill-fit or un-tested in the digital world), the opt in-opt out debate – focused on driving commercial value from the Internet – was a watershed.

In markets where, for instance, direct mail and telemarketing were commonplace, the initial kneejerk was in the opt out direction – if someone didn’t like the use of their data they would have the option of stopping the process (if, of course, they even noticed and, yet more important, they could figure out how). In other markets, where such practices were frowned upon (or even illegal), opt in was the preferred mechanism.

Long story short, opt in emerged as the status quo, and specifically in the context of people opting in based on the concept of “informed consent.” In other words, people had the right to a full description of how their data might be used in advance of agreeing to its use. Notably, the general public was largely unaware that this debate was taking place, nor that a common policy had been defined and agreed.

Over the last 10 years, reaching a crescendo as social networks have exploded allowing people to share more personal information, there has been growing consumer concern related to identity theft, cyber/real-world stalking, and other privacy intrusions or mis-uses

The fundamental question facing people today is: Even if I opted in, was my consent really informed?

For more of this viewpoint, contact customerservice@think2020research.com

Friday, June 18, 2010 posted by cversace

One of my key investing themes is to locate disruptive technologies that are on the cusp of breaking out in terms of adoption in business-to-business, business-to-consumer or consumer-to-consumer applications. One such technology is radio frequency identification (RFID). At its simplest, RFID technology works in some ways like a bar code or a magnetic strip found on the back of a debit or credit card, but for all the similarities, they could not be further apart in terms of applications and human involvement required for benefit.

I recently had the chance to speak with Patrick J. Sweeney II, chief executive officer of ODIN, a leader in packaged RFID solutions for health care, aerospace, financial services and government agencies, about market opportunities for RFID.

Q: Patrick, in a nutshell what is RFID and why is it a better technology than bar coding and magnetic strips?

A: RFID can give an item or asset its own voice. A bar code requires a human to physically touch and manipulate an item to get information from it, and you can only scan one at a time (think of the lines at a grocery store). RFID allows an item to give information like its whereabouts, condition or cost without any human intervention. Thousands of RFID tags can “talk” at once. An RFID tag is about the size of a stamp and costs just pennies but gives much more benefit than the 35-year-old bar code. Think of 10,000 runners crossing a starting line with RFID tags on their shoes to begin race timing, every bag on an airplane tagged and located within seconds, or doing inventory of a data center or armory with the push of a button all in real time.

Q: What’s the business case to be had for RFID adoption? Why should companies consider adopting the technology?

READ MORE HERE